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Probability Basics / Conditional Probability
Conditional Probability
Section 1 of 2: Introduction to Conditional Probability
Conditional probability measures the likelihood of an event occurring given that another event has already occurred. It's denoted as P(A|B), which reads as "the probability of A given B."
Conditional probability allows us to update our beliefs based on new information, making it a fundamental concept in statistical reasoning and decision-making.
Definition
For two events A and B where P(B) > 0, the conditional probability of A given B is defined as:
P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B)
This formula can be interpreted as the proportion of outcomes in B that also belong to A.